ITcon Vol. 14, pg. 540-555, http://www.itcon.org/2009/35

Construction IT in 2030: a scenario planning approach

published:August 2009
editor(s):Kazi A S, Aouad G, Baldwin A
authors:Bilge Erdogan, Dr, Research Fellow
SCRI, School of Built Environment, The University of Salford, UK;
B.Erdogan@salford.ac.uk

Carl Abbott, SCRI Manager,
SCRI, School of Built Environment, The University of Salford, UK;
C.Abbott@salford.ac.uk

Ghassan Aouad, Professor, Pro-Vice Chancellor
The University of Salford, UK;
G.Aouad@salford.ac.uk

Abdul Samad (Sami) Kazi, Chief Research Scientist
VTT Technical Research Centre of Finland;
Sami.Kazi@vtt.fi
summary:This paper presents a scenario planning effort carried out in order to identify the possible futures that construction industry and construction IT might face. The paper provides a review of previous research in the area and introduces the scenario planning approach. It then describes the adopted research methodology. The driving forces of change and main trends, issues and factors determined by focusing on factors related to society, technology, environment, economy and politics are discussed. Four future scenarios developed for the year 2030 are described. These scenarios start from the global view and present the images of the future world. They then focus on the construction industry and the ICT implications. Finally, the preferred scenario determined by the participants of a prospective workshop is presented.
keywords:Future studies, scenario, scenario planning, ICT vision, construction industry
full text: (PDF file, 1.132 MB)
citation:Erdogan B, Abbott C, Aouad G, Kazi A S (2009). Construction IT in 2030: a scenario planning approach, ITcon Vol. 14, Special issue Next Generation Construction IT: Technology Foresight, Future Studies, Roadmapping, and Scenario Planning, pg. 540-555, http://www.itcon.org/2009/35